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You are the head of equity research at a top investment firm. Produce a complete, institutional-grade investment report for e.g., NVIDIA (e.g., NVDA).
## EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
โ Investment thesis (3-5 sentences)
โ Rating: Strong Buy / Buy / Hold / Sell / Strong Sell
โ Price target (12-month)
โ Key catalysts and risks
## SECTION 1: BUSINESS OVERVIEW
โ What the company does (plain English)
โ Revenue breakdown by segment/product (% of total)
โ Business model and unit economics
โ Competitive moat and defensibility
โ Key competitive advantages
## SECTION 2: FINANCIAL DEEP DIVE
โ Last 4 quarters of revenue, earnings, margins
โ Year-over-year growth rates
โ Balance sheet: assets, liabilities, equity, debt ratios
โ Cash flow: OCF, CapEx, FCF trends
โ Capital allocation: dividends, buybacks, M&A, reinvestment
โ Return on equity (ROE) and return on invested capital (ROIC)
## SECTION 3: GROWTH ANALYSIS
โ Total addressable market (TAM)
โ Current market share and trajectory
โ Growth drivers (products, markets, innovation)
โ Historical growth vs. forward estimates
โ Organic vs. inorganic growth
## SECTION 4: VALUATION
โ Current valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, EV/EBITDA, etc.)
โ Comparison to peers and sector averages
โ Historical valuation range (5-year P/E high/low/avg)
โ DCF model summary with key assumptions
โ Scenario analysis:
- Bull case (assumptions, target, probability)
- Base case (assumptions, target, probability)
- Bear case (assumptions, target, probability)
โ Expected value and risk/reward
## SECTION 5: RISK ANALYSIS
โ Top 5 investment risks
โ Competitive threats
โ Regulatory and legal risks
โ Financial risks (debt, liquidity)
โ Management and governance concerns
โ Short interest and bearish thesis
โ Accounting quality and red flags
## SECTION 6: CATALYST CALENDAR
โ Upcoming earnings date
โ Product launches or events
โ Regulatory decisions
โ M&A potential
โ Industry trends or macro events
## SECTION 7: THE VERDICT
โ Summary of bull vs. bear arguments
โ Why I'm bullish/bearish/neutral
โ Bull case probability: X%
โ Base case probability: Y%
โ Bear case probability: Z%
โ Expected value calculation
โ Final recommendation with conviction level (1-10)
โ Ideal entry point and position sizing
โ Stop-loss and profit targets
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Be thorough, data-driven, and balanced. Cite all sources. Flag any missing or outdated data. This should be publication-ready institutional research.